
Esports betting is gaining popularity worldwide, including in the Philippines. However, bettors need to understand an important concept—variance—to make informed decisions. Variance plays a significant role in determining the outcomes of your bets and impacts both your short-term and long-term success.
What Is Variance in Esports Betting?

Variance refers to the natural fluctuations in betting outcomes, caused by unpredictable events that can lead to both winning and losing streaks. While a bet may have a positive expected value (EV) over time, the short-term results can be wildly different. These swings are a normal part of gambling and are crucial for bettors to understand.
How Does Variance Affect Your Betting Experience?
- Winning and Losing Streaks: Variance can cause extended winning or losing streaks, even if you're making positive EV bets.
- Risk Levels: High variance bets tend to have bigger potential payouts but also greater risks, while low variance bets offer steadier results but smaller rewards.
- Betting Bankroll: Understanding variance helps you manage your bankroll effectively. In the Philippines, managing your resources is essential, especially for bettors participating in esports events like Dota 2 or Mobile Legends tournaments.
Types of Variance in Esports Betting

Low Variance
- Characteristics: Low variance bets have fewer risks and more predictable outcomes.
- Example: Betting on heavy favorites in esports tournaments like the MPL Philippines.
High Variance
- Characteristics: High variance bets offer bigger payouts but come with higher risk and unpredictability.
- Example: Betting on underdog teams in regional esports competitions.
Understanding Betting Swings and Outcome Variability
One of the most important aspects of esports betting is handling the emotional ups and downs of betting swings. Outcome variability can be influenced by many factors, such as team performance, game updates, or even external conditions. It’s critical for bettors in the Philippines to stay level-headed, especially when facing these natural fluctuations.
Learning about variance is crucial in esports betting, as it directly impacts both short-term and long-term betting outcomes. For more insights, read about variance in sports betting and what you should know to fully grasp its significance.
- Control Your Emotions: Don’t let a losing streak push you into chasing losses. Take breaks and reassess your strategy.
- Consistency Matters: By consistently applying a solid betting strategy, such as those recommended by platforms like AgilaClub, you can improve your chances of long-term success.
Managing Variance in Esports Betting

Bankroll Management is key to managing variance. Here are some tips:
- Set Limits: Know how much you're willing to lose before you even place a bet.
- Diversify Your Bets: Spread your bets across different teams or matches to minimize the impact of high variance.
- Track Your Results: Keeping track of your wins and losses helps you better understand the variance affecting your bets.
Proper bankroll management is key to handling the effects of variance. If you're looking to take your strategy to the next level, check out these smart strategies for mastering your esports betting bankroll.
Why Variance Shouldn't Scare You
While variance can feel overwhelming, it is not something to fear. Betting is a long game, and understanding variance helps you make more informed decisions. Platforms like AgilaClub can offer resources to help you better grasp these concepts, providing guidance for esports betting enthusiasts across the Philippines.
Final Thoughts
Understanding variance in esports betting is essential for long-term success. By managing your bankroll, controlling your emotions, and making informed decisions, you can navigate the ups and downs of esports betting. Whether you're betting on local tournaments or international esports events, platforms like AgilaClub can support you in your journey. Stay smart, stay strategic, and may variance be on your side!
Platforms like AgilaClub offer exclusive benefits, and for those who engage in high variance bets, achieving VIP status can provide significant perks. Learn more about the advantages of VIP status in sports betting and how it can enhance your overall experience.